1 00:00:05,430 --> 00:00:30,870 [Music] 2 00:00:35,190 --> 00:00:32,549 good afternoon and welcome to nasa's 3 00:00:37,270 --> 00:00:35,200 kennedy space center in florida 4 00:00:39,510 --> 00:00:37,280 we're here for the mission science 5 00:00:41,670 --> 00:00:39,520 briefing as part of nasa's 6 00:00:43,590 --> 00:00:41,680 cyclone global navigation satellite 7 00:00:45,510 --> 00:00:43,600 system mission otherwise known as cygnus 8 00:00:46,709 --> 00:00:45,520 i'm sean potter from nasa's office of 9 00:00:49,910 --> 00:00:46,719 communication i'd like to welcome 10 00:00:51,830 --> 00:00:49,920 everybody here today with me are three 11 00:00:53,670 --> 00:00:51,840 scientists who are working on this 12 00:00:56,470 --> 00:00:53,680 mission all from the university of 13 00:00:59,430 --> 00:00:56,480 michigan's department of climate and 14 00:01:01,029 --> 00:00:59,440 space sciences and engineering 15 00:01:02,470 --> 00:01:01,039 at the university of michigan in ann 16 00:01:03,510 --> 00:01:02,480 arbor i'm going to introduce them to you 17 00:01:05,830 --> 00:01:03,520 and then they've got some opening 18 00:01:08,070 --> 00:01:05,840 remarks and we'll take some questions 19 00:01:10,789 --> 00:01:08,080 after that so immediately to my left is 20 00:01:13,590 --> 00:01:10,799 dr chris ruff he is the principal 21 00:01:16,469 --> 00:01:13,600 investigator of the cygnus mission 22 00:01:19,109 --> 00:01:16,479 next to him is aaron ridley he is the 23 00:01:21,429 --> 00:01:19,119 cygnus constellation scientist 24 00:01:24,149 --> 00:01:21,439 and immediately to his left we have mary 25 00:01:27,749 --> 00:01:24,159 morris who is a phd student working with 26 00:01:29,270 --> 00:01:27,759 dr ruff on applications from cygnus data 27 00:01:31,590 --> 00:01:29,280 and they all have some exciting 28 00:01:34,149 --> 00:01:31,600 information to share with you about how 29 00:01:36,390 --> 00:01:34,159 this mission will work and some of the 30 00:01:39,190 --> 00:01:36,400 incredible science that it promises to 31 00:01:41,350 --> 00:01:39,200 bring us and the hurricane forecast 32 00:01:42,630 --> 00:01:41,360 community so we'll start things off with 33 00:01:46,069 --> 00:01:42,640 chris ruff 34 00:01:48,069 --> 00:01:46,079 chris thanks sean um yeah so i wanted to 35 00:01:49,990 --> 00:01:48,079 um start by giving a little bit of 36 00:01:50,870 --> 00:01:50,000 background sort of sets the stage for 37 00:01:52,789 --> 00:01:50,880 what 38 00:01:55,749 --> 00:01:52,799 cygnus is doing and why it's doing it so 39 00:01:56,950 --> 00:01:55,759 cygnus is designed to measure 40 00:01:59,270 --> 00:01:56,960 the winds 41 00:02:02,630 --> 00:01:59,280 over the ocean in hurricanes and i 42 00:02:04,789 --> 00:02:02,640 wanted to first give you examples of 43 00:02:07,030 --> 00:02:04,799 how we measure winds from space over the 44 00:02:09,029 --> 00:02:07,040 ocean today and then how we measure 45 00:02:10,869 --> 00:02:09,039 winds in hurricanes today so if i could 46 00:02:13,030 --> 00:02:10,879 have the first slide yeah so here's an 47 00:02:15,670 --> 00:02:13,040 example of how we measure winds over the 48 00:02:18,790 --> 00:02:15,680 ocean from space today this is a the 49 00:02:21,030 --> 00:02:18,800 nasa trim satellite on the left and then 50 00:02:23,589 --> 00:02:21,040 some of its data products on the right 51 00:02:26,470 --> 00:02:23,599 the top image on the right is the 52 00:02:28,150 --> 00:02:26,480 precipitation data product the rain rate 53 00:02:29,830 --> 00:02:28,160 and the one on the bottom is the wind 54 00:02:32,790 --> 00:02:29,840 over the ocean so trim can measure wind 55 00:02:35,190 --> 00:02:32,800 over the ocean as can cygnus 56 00:02:36,550 --> 00:02:35,200 there's two important characteristics of 57 00:02:38,710 --> 00:02:36,560 these data 58 00:02:39,589 --> 00:02:38,720 that point to current limitations that 59 00:02:41,990 --> 00:02:39,599 we're 60 00:02:44,309 --> 00:02:42,000 planning to overcome with cygnus the 61 00:02:46,070 --> 00:02:44,319 first one is if you look at the 62 00:02:48,309 --> 00:02:46,080 places in the top image where there's 63 00:02:49,910 --> 00:02:48,319 heavy rain particularly near the equator 64 00:02:51,270 --> 00:02:49,920 in the itcz 65 00:02:53,030 --> 00:02:51,280 if you look at the same spot in the 66 00:02:55,190 --> 00:02:53,040 lower image measuring the wind you'll 67 00:02:57,350 --> 00:02:55,200 see that the winds are black there and 68 00:02:59,270 --> 00:02:57,360 the reason for that is the this 69 00:03:01,030 --> 00:02:59,280 satellite as every other satellite up 70 00:03:02,710 --> 00:03:01,040 there now cannot measure wind through 71 00:03:04,149 --> 00:03:02,720 heavy rain that's a fundamental 72 00:03:05,830 --> 00:03:04,159 limitation with these types of 73 00:03:07,750 --> 00:03:05,840 measurements and the reason for that is 74 00:03:09,589 --> 00:03:07,760 the wavelengths that they operate at a 75 00:03:12,470 --> 00:03:09,599 trim operates at an eight millimeter 76 00:03:14,550 --> 00:03:12,480 wavelength and uh raindrops are 77 00:03:16,390 --> 00:03:14,560 typically one to five millimeters in 78 00:03:18,149 --> 00:03:16,400 heavy rain and if the raindrops are 79 00:03:20,630 --> 00:03:18,159 comparable in size to the wavelength of 80 00:03:22,070 --> 00:03:20,640 the electromagnetic waves you get a lot 81 00:03:23,509 --> 00:03:22,080 of scattering a lot of absorption and 82 00:03:25,670 --> 00:03:23,519 you can't penetrate through so we just 83 00:03:27,190 --> 00:03:25,680 can't measure wind under heavy rain from 84 00:03:29,670 --> 00:03:27,200 space that's one limitation the other 85 00:03:30,869 --> 00:03:29,680 one if you look at the captions to these 86 00:03:32,550 --> 00:03:30,879 two images 87 00:03:35,350 --> 00:03:32,560 you'll see these are three day data 88 00:03:38,309 --> 00:03:35,360 products and what that means is the uh 89 00:03:39,910 --> 00:03:38,319 the satellite um orbit takes three days 90 00:03:41,670 --> 00:03:39,920 to come back around the same place so it 91 00:03:44,149 --> 00:03:41,680 takes three days to make a complete 92 00:03:46,309 --> 00:03:44,159 measurement of the entire earth and this 93 00:03:48,869 --> 00:03:46,319 is fine for a lot of applications but 94 00:03:50,309 --> 00:03:48,879 for extreme weather situations like 95 00:03:52,550 --> 00:03:50,319 hurricanes where 96 00:03:54,630 --> 00:03:52,560 things change on the time scale of hours 97 00:03:56,229 --> 00:03:54,640 to maybe a day if you make a new 98 00:03:58,229 --> 00:03:56,239 measurement once every three days it's 99 00:04:00,869 --> 00:03:58,239 very likely that you'll miss important 100 00:04:02,149 --> 00:04:00,879 parts of the evolution of the storm so 101 00:04:03,670 --> 00:04:02,159 those are the two things that we're 102 00:04:05,350 --> 00:04:03,680 trying to overcome with cygnus 103 00:04:06,550 --> 00:04:05,360 measurement through rain and measurement 104 00:04:08,789 --> 00:04:06,560 more often 105 00:04:10,229 --> 00:04:08,799 in hours instead of days 106 00:04:12,309 --> 00:04:10,239 if you go to the next we go to the next 107 00:04:14,949 --> 00:04:12,319 slide here's an example of how we can 108 00:04:17,749 --> 00:04:14,959 measure winds today in hurricanes 109 00:04:19,670 --> 00:04:17,759 this is a an instrument called the sfmr 110 00:04:22,069 --> 00:04:19,680 in the lower left there and it's 111 00:04:23,510 --> 00:04:22,079 installed on the noaa p3 hurricane 112 00:04:25,749 --> 00:04:23,520 hunter airplane so these are airplanes 113 00:04:27,670 --> 00:04:25,759 that fly directly into storms into 114 00:04:29,670 --> 00:04:27,680 hurricanes and they can make 115 00:04:31,670 --> 00:04:29,680 measurements of the ocean surface in 116 00:04:33,510 --> 00:04:31,680 heavy precip um in particular in 117 00:04:35,909 --> 00:04:33,520 hurricanes and the way they do this is 118 00:04:37,990 --> 00:04:35,919 they operate at a much longer wavelength 119 00:04:39,670 --> 00:04:38,000 uh sfmrr operates at about a five 120 00:04:43,110 --> 00:04:39,680 centimeter wavelength which is about 10 121 00:04:44,550 --> 00:04:43,120 times the size of a of a raindrop and 122 00:04:46,790 --> 00:04:44,560 in this case there's some interaction 123 00:04:48,870 --> 00:04:46,800 with the rain but not total attenuation 124 00:04:50,390 --> 00:04:48,880 so you get some interaction with the 125 00:04:53,110 --> 00:04:50,400 rain and you get some interaction with 126 00:04:54,790 --> 00:04:53,120 the surface and by analyzing the data 127 00:04:57,430 --> 00:04:54,800 properly you can correct for the rain 128 00:04:58,950 --> 00:04:57,440 attenuation and measure the wind 129 00:05:01,510 --> 00:04:58,960 and if we go to the next slide this is 130 00:05:04,390 --> 00:05:01,520 an example of a data product measured by 131 00:05:07,510 --> 00:05:04,400 the the noaa p3 hurricane hunter when it 132 00:05:09,430 --> 00:05:07,520 made an overpass of hurricane katrina 133 00:05:11,430 --> 00:05:09,440 about a day before landfall 134 00:05:13,110 --> 00:05:11,440 so there's a an image in the top left of 135 00:05:16,150 --> 00:05:13,120 katrina and if you look closely you can 136 00:05:18,070 --> 00:05:16,160 see a black arrow through the eye that's 137 00:05:20,310 --> 00:05:18,080 the flight line of the airplane and then 138 00:05:21,990 --> 00:05:20,320 in the lower right is the data that were 139 00:05:24,550 --> 00:05:22,000 that was measured to the retrievals that 140 00:05:25,749 --> 00:05:24,560 were estimated from the data during that 141 00:05:27,590 --> 00:05:25,759 overpass 142 00:05:29,350 --> 00:05:27,600 and you can see both the 143 00:05:31,110 --> 00:05:29,360 the rain rate that's retrieved as a 144 00:05:32,629 --> 00:05:31,120 secondary parameter to correct for its 145 00:05:34,469 --> 00:05:32,639 interaction and then the primary 146 00:05:36,230 --> 00:05:34,479 measurement of the wind speed itself you 147 00:05:38,070 --> 00:05:36,240 can see the maximum winds occurring on 148 00:05:39,990 --> 00:05:38,080 the eye wall where the rain is heaviest 149 00:05:41,670 --> 00:05:40,000 and then there's calm winds in the uh in 150 00:05:43,830 --> 00:05:41,680 the eye of the storm 151 00:05:45,909 --> 00:05:43,840 and so it's important note here that 152 00:05:47,590 --> 00:05:45,919 these measurements are made directly 153 00:05:49,270 --> 00:05:47,600 under the airplane only and you need to 154 00:05:50,710 --> 00:05:49,280 fly an airplane out there to make these 155 00:05:53,189 --> 00:05:50,720 measurements so what we're trying to do 156 00:05:55,350 --> 00:05:53,199 with cygnus is combine the global 157 00:05:57,270 --> 00:05:55,360 coverage that you get from a satellite 158 00:05:58,710 --> 00:05:57,280 with the ability to penetrate through 159 00:06:00,550 --> 00:05:58,720 the rain that you get with one of these 160 00:06:02,390 --> 00:06:00,560 hurricane hunter instruments 161 00:06:03,830 --> 00:06:02,400 and and also 162 00:06:05,830 --> 00:06:03,840 improve upon the sampling 163 00:06:07,110 --> 00:06:05,840 characteristics of the the large weather 164 00:06:09,590 --> 00:06:07,120 satellites that take three days to 165 00:06:11,350 --> 00:06:09,600 revisit and and the way to do that is to 166 00:06:13,350 --> 00:06:11,360 operate at long enough wavelengths to 167 00:06:15,350 --> 00:06:13,360 penetrate through the rain and in order 168 00:06:17,029 --> 00:06:15,360 to improve the sampling uh more often 169 00:06:19,189 --> 00:06:17,039 than every few days we need a lot of 170 00:06:21,029 --> 00:06:19,199 satellites and the way to do that in a 171 00:06:22,390 --> 00:06:21,039 cost-cap mission is to make things 172 00:06:24,230 --> 00:06:22,400 cheaper so that you can afford to build 173 00:06:26,550 --> 00:06:24,240 a lot of satellites and that leads me to 174 00:06:28,790 --> 00:06:26,560 the next slide which illustrates the way 175 00:06:30,390 --> 00:06:28,800 we make these measurements so 176 00:06:32,469 --> 00:06:30,400 as you heard in the uh the engineering 177 00:06:35,510 --> 00:06:32,479 briefing earlier 178 00:06:37,749 --> 00:06:35,520 cygnus is basically the receive half of 179 00:06:40,309 --> 00:06:37,759 a radar and the transmit half of the 180 00:06:42,629 --> 00:06:40,319 radar is the gps constellation of 181 00:06:44,469 --> 00:06:42,639 navigation satellites so there's uh 30 182 00:06:46,309 --> 00:06:44,479 gps satellites up there now and they're 183 00:06:47,990 --> 00:06:46,319 constantly transmitting their uh their 184 00:06:49,990 --> 00:06:48,000 signals down to the earth for navigation 185 00:06:52,070 --> 00:06:50,000 purposes they're intentionally designed 186 00:06:54,950 --> 00:06:52,080 to operate at a very long wavelength 19 187 00:06:56,629 --> 00:06:54,960 centimeters uh in order to um be able to 188 00:06:58,390 --> 00:06:56,639 have navigation work when it's raining 189 00:06:59,990 --> 00:06:58,400 heavy like for example when you're 190 00:07:01,270 --> 00:07:00,000 driving in your car your navigation 191 00:07:02,790 --> 00:07:01,280 system works just fine when there's 192 00:07:05,430 --> 00:07:02,800 heavy rain because because it operates 193 00:07:06,950 --> 00:07:05,440 at such a long wavelength so the gps 194 00:07:08,390 --> 00:07:06,960 transmitters are there or the signals 195 00:07:10,629 --> 00:07:08,400 are there all the time and what we've 196 00:07:13,110 --> 00:07:10,639 done with cygnus is we've taken a 197 00:07:15,029 --> 00:07:13,120 commercial navigation receiver and 198 00:07:16,710 --> 00:07:15,039 essentially hacked into it and modified 199 00:07:19,189 --> 00:07:16,720 its processor so that it does both 200 00:07:20,870 --> 00:07:19,199 navigation and it also measures the 201 00:07:22,629 --> 00:07:20,880 distortion of the navigation signal 202 00:07:24,790 --> 00:07:22,639 after it reflects off of the ocean 203 00:07:26,710 --> 00:07:24,800 surface and by looking carefully at the 204 00:07:28,710 --> 00:07:26,720 the nature of the distortion we can back 205 00:07:30,870 --> 00:07:28,720 out the uh the properties of the ocean 206 00:07:33,430 --> 00:07:30,880 surface that are forced by the uh the 207 00:07:35,270 --> 00:07:33,440 local winds and i've got a couple of 208 00:07:37,430 --> 00:07:35,280 series of slides here to illustrate the 209 00:07:38,950 --> 00:07:37,440 interaction between the electromagnetic 210 00:07:40,710 --> 00:07:38,960 signals in the ocean surface to show how 211 00:07:42,950 --> 00:07:40,720 it is that we measure wind so if we can 212 00:07:44,550 --> 00:07:42,960 go to the next slide so here's an 213 00:07:47,270 --> 00:07:44,560 example of uh 214 00:07:49,510 --> 00:07:47,280 specular scattering in the uh in optical 215 00:07:51,589 --> 00:07:49,520 wavelengths so you can see the moon um 216 00:07:53,830 --> 00:07:51,599 above the horizon and then you can see a 217 00:07:55,990 --> 00:07:53,840 reflection of the moon in the lake and 218 00:07:57,990 --> 00:07:56,000 the water uh the lake surface is very 219 00:07:59,749 --> 00:07:58,000 calm there's no wind blowing and because 220 00:08:01,830 --> 00:07:59,759 of that the reflection of the moon is 221 00:08:04,150 --> 00:08:01,840 almost as sharp as the moon itself and 222 00:08:06,230 --> 00:08:04,160 this is called specular reflection and 223 00:08:08,150 --> 00:08:06,240 uh you know electromagnetic terminology 224 00:08:09,670 --> 00:08:08,160 and what that means is mirror-like 225 00:08:12,309 --> 00:08:09,680 reflection where the surface does not 226 00:08:15,110 --> 00:08:12,319 distort the reflection and if the ocean 227 00:08:17,110 --> 00:08:15,120 were perfectly smooth the gps signal 228 00:08:18,790 --> 00:08:17,120 would reflect off of the of the ocean 229 00:08:20,550 --> 00:08:18,800 and be received by cygnus and it would 230 00:08:22,869 --> 00:08:20,560 still look like a regular navigation 231 00:08:24,950 --> 00:08:22,879 signal if there was a nice smooth uh 232 00:08:26,150 --> 00:08:24,960 mirror like specular reflection if we go 233 00:08:27,749 --> 00:08:26,160 to the next slide you'll see what 234 00:08:29,749 --> 00:08:27,759 happens when the wind blows when the 235 00:08:31,350 --> 00:08:29,759 wind blows there's friction at the 236 00:08:33,509 --> 00:08:31,360 oceans at the water surface and that 237 00:08:35,110 --> 00:08:33,519 roughens the surface and uh this is 238 00:08:36,709 --> 00:08:35,120 called diffuse scattering rather than 239 00:08:38,149 --> 00:08:36,719 specular scattering so here's an example 240 00:08:39,990 --> 00:08:38,159 again in the optical wavelengths where 241 00:08:41,750 --> 00:08:40,000 the moon is reflecting off of a 242 00:08:43,350 --> 00:08:41,760 roughened surface and you can see that 243 00:08:45,350 --> 00:08:43,360 the reflection is not a nice sharp 244 00:08:46,630 --> 00:08:45,360 picture of the moon but now it's a 245 00:08:49,030 --> 00:08:46,640 diffuse 246 00:08:51,190 --> 00:08:49,040 version 247 00:08:53,509 --> 00:08:51,200 and this this happens in optical 248 00:08:56,389 --> 00:08:53,519 wavelengths like this and it happens at 249 00:08:57,829 --> 00:08:56,399 radio wave wavelengths like gps as well 250 00:09:00,230 --> 00:08:57,839 and if we go to the next slide you'll 251 00:09:02,230 --> 00:09:00,240 see an example of this so this is uh the 252 00:09:03,269 --> 00:09:02,240 first measurements of gps scattering off 253 00:09:04,949 --> 00:09:03,279 the ocean 254 00:09:07,430 --> 00:09:04,959 measured from space it was measured 255 00:09:09,110 --> 00:09:07,440 about 10 years ago by a technology 256 00:09:11,269 --> 00:09:09,120 demonstration mission that was flown 257 00:09:13,350 --> 00:09:11,279 with a prototype of the cygnus receiver 258 00:09:15,190 --> 00:09:13,360 um this is when it was first you know 259 00:09:17,030 --> 00:09:15,200 like the the details were first worked 260 00:09:18,949 --> 00:09:17,040 out about how to hack into a regular 261 00:09:20,710 --> 00:09:18,959 communication or a navigation uh 262 00:09:23,829 --> 00:09:20,720 receiver to do these type of reflected 263 00:09:25,430 --> 00:09:23,839 measurements and this is a gps 19 264 00:09:27,509 --> 00:09:25,440 centimeter signal scattering off the 265 00:09:29,350 --> 00:09:27,519 ocean surface and you can see that 266 00:09:31,110 --> 00:09:29,360 the specular part of it of the 267 00:09:32,790 --> 00:09:31,120 reflection is that bright red part at 268 00:09:34,550 --> 00:09:32,800 the top and then the yellow kind of 269 00:09:36,230 --> 00:09:34,560 horseshoe shaped part is the diffuse 270 00:09:38,389 --> 00:09:36,240 scattering away from the specular point 271 00:09:40,790 --> 00:09:38,399 due to the roughening of the ocean 272 00:09:43,350 --> 00:09:40,800 surface and in general the rougher the 273 00:09:44,949 --> 00:09:43,360 surfaces due to increased wind speed the 274 00:09:46,550 --> 00:09:44,959 more diffuse scattering there is the 275 00:09:48,790 --> 00:09:46,560 less specular scattering there is and 276 00:09:50,949 --> 00:09:48,800 cygnus makes measurements just like this 277 00:09:52,470 --> 00:09:50,959 every second and from that we can derive 278 00:09:53,430 --> 00:09:52,480 the wind speed 279 00:09:55,910 --> 00:09:53,440 okay 280 00:09:57,750 --> 00:09:55,920 if we go to the next uh the next thing 281 00:10:00,230 --> 00:09:57,760 to play i think is a video this shows 282 00:10:02,150 --> 00:10:00,240 you how the sampling works with cygnus 283 00:10:04,230 --> 00:10:02,160 so there's eight satellites in a single 284 00:10:05,750 --> 00:10:04,240 orbit plane each satellite has antennas 285 00:10:07,190 --> 00:10:05,760 pointing towards the 286 00:10:08,870 --> 00:10:07,200 towards the surface looking at the 287 00:10:12,389 --> 00:10:08,880 scattered signals 288 00:10:14,710 --> 00:10:12,399 and these uh those blue ellipses those 289 00:10:17,110 --> 00:10:14,720 are the locations of the specular points 290 00:10:19,190 --> 00:10:17,120 from the gps transmitters and as soon as 291 00:10:20,550 --> 00:10:19,200 they enter the antenna beam that's 292 00:10:23,509 --> 00:10:20,560 looking down at the ground that's those 293 00:10:25,269 --> 00:10:23,519 red ovals the onboard processor latches 294 00:10:27,110 --> 00:10:25,279 onto them and begins processing and 295 00:10:28,389 --> 00:10:27,120 generating those images of the diffuse 296 00:10:30,230 --> 00:10:28,399 scattering 297 00:10:32,150 --> 00:10:30,240 there's enough processing horsepower on 298 00:10:33,829 --> 00:10:32,160 board to measure four of these specular 299 00:10:36,230 --> 00:10:33,839 points at a time so it's always tracking 300 00:10:37,670 --> 00:10:36,240 where the specular points are and it 301 00:10:39,990 --> 00:10:37,680 takes the best four in the antenna 302 00:10:41,750 --> 00:10:40,000 pattern and processes them into winds so 303 00:10:44,069 --> 00:10:41,760 essentially we're measuring winds along 304 00:10:46,550 --> 00:10:44,079 these blue lines as the satellite orbits 305 00:10:48,470 --> 00:10:46,560 along and you can think of this kind of 306 00:10:50,550 --> 00:10:48,480 like there being 307 00:10:52,630 --> 00:10:50,560 individual airplanes kind of virtual 308 00:10:54,310 --> 00:10:52,640 airplanes p3 airplanes somewhere in the 309 00:10:55,990 --> 00:10:54,320 tropics and underneath of them they're 310 00:10:58,230 --> 00:10:56,000 making winds making measurements of the 311 00:11:00,069 --> 00:10:58,240 winds and with eight satellites and each 312 00:11:03,190 --> 00:11:00,079 satellite able to make four measurements 313 00:11:06,230 --> 00:11:03,200 of the wind it's kind of like having 32 314 00:11:08,790 --> 00:11:06,240 virtual p3 you know airplanes someplace 315 00:11:10,389 --> 00:11:08,800 in the tropics making winds at all times 316 00:11:12,389 --> 00:11:10,399 and if you take all of those winds 317 00:11:14,389 --> 00:11:12,399 aggregate them together you get the data 318 00:11:17,750 --> 00:11:14,399 product that cygnus generates 319 00:11:19,590 --> 00:11:17,760 with eight satellites there's about um 320 00:11:21,670 --> 00:11:19,600 seven hours between measurements at any 321 00:11:24,230 --> 00:11:21,680 given spot in the in the uh in the 322 00:11:26,389 --> 00:11:24,240 tropics on average so 323 00:11:28,150 --> 00:11:26,399 we're able to uh make measurements much 324 00:11:30,630 --> 00:11:28,160 more often than that three-day refresh 325 00:11:33,110 --> 00:11:30,640 rate of the trim satellite and uh i 326 00:11:35,190 --> 00:11:33,120 think i have one last slide here this is 327 00:11:37,110 --> 00:11:35,200 an example from a we have a detailed 328 00:11:39,030 --> 00:11:37,120 software simulator of the mission and of 329 00:11:40,790 --> 00:11:39,040 the interactions of the gps signals with 330 00:11:42,470 --> 00:11:40,800 the ocean surface and this is an example 331 00:11:43,670 --> 00:11:42,480 of the type of product that we're 332 00:11:44,790 --> 00:11:43,680 expecting 333 00:11:47,350 --> 00:11:44,800 this is a 334 00:11:49,750 --> 00:11:47,360 simulated tropical cyclone in the left 335 00:11:51,829 --> 00:11:49,760 and then a transect of the specular 336 00:11:53,910 --> 00:11:51,839 point passing through the eye wall of 337 00:11:56,069 --> 00:11:53,920 the satellite on that black line and 338 00:11:58,069 --> 00:11:56,079 that plays the same role as the flight 339 00:12:00,629 --> 00:11:58,079 line of the airplane in this case and 340 00:12:02,790 --> 00:12:00,639 then on the right we have uh an example 341 00:12:04,310 --> 00:12:02,800 of the the true wind in our simulator 342 00:12:06,150 --> 00:12:04,320 and then the retrieved wind including 343 00:12:07,910 --> 00:12:06,160 all the you know realistic sources of 344 00:12:09,750 --> 00:12:07,920 errors and calibration and noise and so 345 00:12:11,990 --> 00:12:09,760 on that we're expecting and you can see 346 00:12:14,069 --> 00:12:12,000 that it picks up the uh the calm water 347 00:12:16,389 --> 00:12:14,079 and the eye of the hurricane and then 348 00:12:17,750 --> 00:12:16,399 the strongest wind in the uh in the eye 349 00:12:20,230 --> 00:12:17,760 wall as it penetrates through the 350 00:12:22,949 --> 00:12:20,240 maximum wind so that's uh that's the 351 00:12:24,470 --> 00:12:22,959 data product that we're expecting and 352 00:12:26,310 --> 00:12:24,480 i guess i want to say just one other 353 00:12:27,750 --> 00:12:26,320 thing about the the nature of the 354 00:12:29,509 --> 00:12:27,760 satellites and how we're able to do 355 00:12:31,190 --> 00:12:29,519 these measurements it's it's really 356 00:12:32,870 --> 00:12:31,200 critical that we have many of these 357 00:12:35,190 --> 00:12:32,880 satellites in order to get the sampling 358 00:12:37,269 --> 00:12:35,200 down to you know every every seven hours 359 00:12:39,829 --> 00:12:37,279 and uh the way to do that is to make the 360 00:12:41,670 --> 00:12:39,839 individual satellites cheap so the gps 361 00:12:43,110 --> 00:12:41,680 receivers themselves are very low power 362 00:12:45,269 --> 00:12:43,120 and very efficient because they've been 363 00:12:48,069 --> 00:12:45,279 optimized by you know commercial 364 00:12:49,670 --> 00:12:48,079 industry for for commercial navigation 365 00:12:51,430 --> 00:12:49,680 and that makes the satellites be nice 366 00:12:53,829 --> 00:12:51,440 and small and cheap and the other thing 367 00:12:56,150 --> 00:12:53,839 that's really critical about this is 368 00:12:57,990 --> 00:12:56,160 the actual satellite itself has to be 369 00:12:59,910 --> 00:12:58,000 simple in order to keep the price down 370 00:13:01,910 --> 00:12:59,920 and one of the key things that keeps it 371 00:13:03,430 --> 00:13:01,920 simple is the fact that it has no 372 00:13:05,430 --> 00:13:03,440 propulsion 373 00:13:06,870 --> 00:13:05,440 so once these satellites are launched 374 00:13:08,550 --> 00:13:06,880 they're initially very close together 375 00:13:10,310 --> 00:13:08,560 and then they start spreading apart and 376 00:13:12,069 --> 00:13:10,320 we need some way to get them evenly 377 00:13:15,350 --> 00:13:12,079 spaced out around the orbit without 378 00:13:17,750 --> 00:13:15,360 propulsion and the way we do that is uh 379 00:13:19,910 --> 00:13:17,760 this clever trick that professor ridley 380 00:13:22,389 --> 00:13:19,920 next to me figured out and i'll let him 381 00:13:23,269 --> 00:13:22,399 kind of tell his tale 382 00:13:25,430 --> 00:13:23,279 great 383 00:13:27,110 --> 00:13:25,440 thank you very much so as chris just 384 00:13:29,350 --> 00:13:27,120 talked about um 385 00:13:31,910 --> 00:13:29,360 when the satellites are launched they 386 00:13:35,590 --> 00:13:31,920 come off of the pegasus satellite or 387 00:13:37,990 --> 00:13:35,600 pegasus rocket if we really wanted to it 388 00:13:39,750 --> 00:13:38,000 would be great to have eight rockets 389 00:13:40,629 --> 00:13:39,760 actually launching every single one of 390 00:13:42,949 --> 00:13:40,639 these 391 00:13:45,430 --> 00:13:42,959 but it would be extremely expensive and 392 00:13:46,230 --> 00:13:45,440 so the best method is to have them up 393 00:13:49,030 --> 00:13:46,240 there 394 00:13:50,870 --> 00:13:49,040 take them up on one single rocket and as 395 00:13:52,410 --> 00:13:50,880 chris just talked about 396 00:13:53,590 --> 00:13:52,420 i'm gonna use some props here 397 00:13:56,230 --> 00:13:53,600 [Music] 398 00:13:58,710 --> 00:13:56,240 uh when they come off of the the rocket 399 00:14:00,389 --> 00:13:58,720 they're basically gonna be together all 400 00:14:02,310 --> 00:14:00,399 right they're gonna be spreading apart 401 00:14:03,829 --> 00:14:02,320 very slowly from each other they're 402 00:14:06,629 --> 00:14:03,839 going to be orbiting around the earth at 403 00:14:07,910 --> 00:14:06,639 about 17 000 miles an hour but with 404 00:14:10,470 --> 00:14:07,920 respect to each other they're going to 405 00:14:11,990 --> 00:14:10,480 be moving only about two miles an hour 406 00:14:14,710 --> 00:14:12,000 so they're going to move apart from each 407 00:14:17,269 --> 00:14:14,720 other very very slowly and after about 408 00:14:20,550 --> 00:14:17,279 three months they will basically will 409 00:14:22,550 --> 00:14:20,560 have one will have lapped another one 410 00:14:24,790 --> 00:14:22,560 and it will come around like this and 411 00:14:27,030 --> 00:14:24,800 fly over the other one and we don't 412 00:14:29,670 --> 00:14:27,040 really want that to happen what we want 413 00:14:32,150 --> 00:14:29,680 to happen is for them to basically stay 414 00:14:34,230 --> 00:14:32,160 at about the same distance apart and fly 415 00:14:36,629 --> 00:14:34,240 in tandem with each other we want them 416 00:14:38,949 --> 00:14:36,639 to be spaced about 3 000 kilometers 417 00:14:40,550 --> 00:14:38,959 apart from each other 3000 miles apart 418 00:14:42,389 --> 00:14:40,560 from each other and the way that we're 419 00:14:45,509 --> 00:14:42,399 going to do that 420 00:14:46,870 --> 00:14:45,519 is that as these things come apart uh 421 00:14:50,150 --> 00:14:46,880 from each other 422 00:14:52,150 --> 00:14:50,160 then we're gonna start tilting them up 423 00:14:53,910 --> 00:14:52,160 and this one will go into what's called 424 00:14:56,550 --> 00:14:53,920 high drag mode 425 00:14:59,110 --> 00:14:56,560 all right so what happens is that up it 426 00:15:01,750 --> 00:14:59,120 at about 500 kilometers altitude there's 427 00:15:03,829 --> 00:15:01,760 still a lot of air up there and all 428 00:15:06,069 --> 00:15:03,839 satellites it's the second 429 00:15:08,790 --> 00:15:06,079 largest force that the satellites feel 430 00:15:09,910 --> 00:15:08,800 besides gravity they feel aerodynamic 431 00:15:12,389 --> 00:15:09,920 drag 432 00:15:14,310 --> 00:15:12,399 and so just like a biker 433 00:15:16,949 --> 00:15:14,320 would tuck down 434 00:15:18,790 --> 00:15:16,959 and feel less drag force these 435 00:15:21,110 --> 00:15:18,800 satellites are flying like this and 436 00:15:24,069 --> 00:15:21,120 don't feel very much drag force but when 437 00:15:26,310 --> 00:15:24,079 you tilt it up they feel a lot of drag 438 00:15:28,790 --> 00:15:26,320 and so as one as this one is going 439 00:15:31,829 --> 00:15:28,800 faster than this other one you tilt it 440 00:15:34,310 --> 00:15:31,839 up and you slow it down with respect to 441 00:15:36,629 --> 00:15:34,320 the other one okay and so what we're 442 00:15:40,069 --> 00:15:36,639 going to do is we're going to have uh 443 00:15:42,230 --> 00:15:40,079 meetings every week where we'll decide 444 00:15:44,069 --> 00:15:42,240 which satellite we want to put into high 445 00:15:46,790 --> 00:15:44,079 drag mode 446 00:15:48,870 --> 00:15:46,800 uh i was supposed to show some 447 00:15:51,430 --> 00:15:48,880 pictures that illustrate this a little 448 00:15:53,590 --> 00:15:51,440 bit so if you show the first picture 449 00:15:55,269 --> 00:15:53,600 or the first video this is the 450 00:15:58,550 --> 00:15:55,279 deployment sequence so all the 451 00:16:00,949 --> 00:15:58,560 satellites are on one 452 00:16:03,269 --> 00:16:00,959 rocket they're all bunched together and 453 00:16:05,430 --> 00:16:03,279 they all pop off and they're moving 454 00:16:07,829 --> 00:16:05,440 about two or three miles 455 00:16:10,069 --> 00:16:07,839 an hour away from each other and it will 456 00:16:13,590 --> 00:16:10,079 take them about 457 00:16:15,670 --> 00:16:13,600 three to six months to basically overlap 458 00:16:17,829 --> 00:16:15,680 each other to start lapping each other 459 00:16:19,990 --> 00:16:17,839 you don't want them to lap each other 460 00:16:22,710 --> 00:16:20,000 because if one is above the other one 461 00:16:24,949 --> 00:16:22,720 they're measuring exactly the same thing 462 00:16:27,030 --> 00:16:24,959 on the earth and we don't want that to 463 00:16:29,110 --> 00:16:27,040 happen so we want them to be spaced 464 00:16:29,990 --> 00:16:29,120 apart from each other so if you show the 465 00:16:31,269 --> 00:16:30,000 next 466 00:16:32,150 --> 00:16:31,279 slide 467 00:16:34,470 --> 00:16:32,160 now 468 00:16:37,749 --> 00:16:34,480 the satellites are going to 469 00:16:40,470 --> 00:16:37,759 orbit at 35 degrees inclination the 470 00:16:42,470 --> 00:16:40,480 reason we chose 35 degree inclination is 471 00:16:47,590 --> 00:16:42,480 because that's where most tropical 472 00:16:50,230 --> 00:16:47,600 cyclones uh happen so this plot shows uh 473 00:16:52,389 --> 00:16:50,240 tracks for tropical cyclones for about 474 00:16:55,110 --> 00:16:52,399 10 years and you can see the vast 475 00:16:57,990 --> 00:16:55,120 majority of them are within this white 476 00:17:00,069 --> 00:16:58,000 zone which is between plus and minus 35 477 00:17:02,389 --> 00:17:00,079 degrees we don't want to do something 478 00:17:04,949 --> 00:17:02,399 like a polar orbit because there are no 479 00:17:06,390 --> 00:17:04,959 tropical cyclones up near the poles we 480 00:17:08,069 --> 00:17:06,400 want to stick where the tropical 481 00:17:11,270 --> 00:17:08,079 cyclones are 482 00:17:13,510 --> 00:17:11,280 and so we planned the inclination to be 483 00:17:16,549 --> 00:17:13,520 35 degrees we'll go between plus and 484 00:17:18,230 --> 00:17:16,559 minus 35 we have figured out how to 485 00:17:21,270 --> 00:17:18,240 space these satellites out so they're 486 00:17:24,949 --> 00:17:21,280 equally spaced around the orbit and then 487 00:17:27,510 --> 00:17:24,959 if you go to the next movie it shows how 488 00:17:30,470 --> 00:17:27,520 the coverage uh happens of all these 489 00:17:32,070 --> 00:17:30,480 specular points chris showed just one 490 00:17:35,750 --> 00:17:32,080 small 491 00:17:37,990 --> 00:17:35,760 time slice but this shows 24 hours of 492 00:17:41,669 --> 00:17:38,000 cygnus measurements and you can see that 493 00:17:43,750 --> 00:17:41,679 we cover the entire globe in about 24 494 00:17:46,870 --> 00:17:43,760 hours we actually measure 495 00:17:49,510 --> 00:17:46,880 multiple times over the same place 496 00:17:51,990 --> 00:17:49,520 fairly often with this and you can see 497 00:17:56,390 --> 00:17:52,000 if you look very very closely we have 498 00:17:59,430 --> 00:17:56,400 about 80 to 85 percent uh of the spots 499 00:18:03,510 --> 00:17:59,440 in the plus and minus 35 degree latitude 500 00:18:06,870 --> 00:18:03,520 band covered by cygnus every single day 501 00:18:10,710 --> 00:18:08,870 great now we'll turn it over to mary 502 00:18:13,350 --> 00:18:10,720 morris to talk a little bit about 503 00:18:14,710 --> 00:18:13,360 some of the applications of the cygnus 504 00:18:15,830 --> 00:18:14,720 science 505 00:18:17,830 --> 00:18:15,840 thanks sean 506 00:18:19,909 --> 00:18:17,840 so uh now that we've heard a little bit 507 00:18:21,430 --> 00:18:19,919 about the science and the engineering 508 00:18:23,430 --> 00:18:21,440 aspects of cygnus i'm going to talk to 509 00:18:24,789 --> 00:18:23,440 you all about some of a tool that we've 510 00:18:26,230 --> 00:18:24,799 been developing for the science 511 00:18:27,270 --> 00:18:26,240 applications why should you care about 512 00:18:28,710 --> 00:18:27,280 cygnus 513 00:18:30,470 --> 00:18:28,720 so at the university of michigan we've 514 00:18:32,950 --> 00:18:30,480 been developing this tool called sift or 515 00:18:34,549 --> 00:18:32,960 the storm intersection forecast tool and 516 00:18:36,470 --> 00:18:34,559 the reason that we developed sift is 517 00:18:38,390 --> 00:18:36,480 because we needed a way to predict ahead 518 00:18:40,630 --> 00:18:38,400 of time when we're going to get valuable 519 00:18:42,789 --> 00:18:40,640 storm data and then after we answer that 520 00:18:44,470 --> 00:18:42,799 question we want to know how soon after 521 00:18:45,909 --> 00:18:44,480 we get that data can we then downlink it 522 00:18:48,310 --> 00:18:45,919 to the ground and get it to the user 523 00:18:49,750 --> 00:18:48,320 community as soon as possible 524 00:18:51,029 --> 00:18:49,760 so what we're going to do today is we're 525 00:18:52,470 --> 00:18:51,039 going to do a little experiment we're 526 00:18:53,909 --> 00:18:52,480 going to pretend that cygnus launched a 527 00:18:55,909 --> 00:18:53,919 year ago and we're going to see what we 528 00:18:57,909 --> 00:18:55,919 would have seen during hurricane matthew 529 00:18:59,909 --> 00:18:57,919 a little over a couple of months ago if 530 00:19:02,230 --> 00:18:59,919 cygnus had already been orbiting 531 00:19:03,750 --> 00:19:02,240 so let's go to the video clip and see 532 00:19:06,150 --> 00:19:03,760 this tool in action so what you're 533 00:19:08,390 --> 00:19:06,160 seeing now is sift in sort of a global v 534 00:19:10,549 --> 00:19:08,400 mode each of these colored triangles 535 00:19:12,390 --> 00:19:10,559 represents one of the cygnus satellites 536 00:19:14,470 --> 00:19:12,400 and the dots that surround the satellite 537 00:19:16,390 --> 00:19:14,480 are the specular points that's where our 538 00:19:18,789 --> 00:19:16,400 data are going to be that's where we're 539 00:19:20,630 --> 00:19:18,799 able to measure ocean surface wind speed 540 00:19:23,590 --> 00:19:20,640 what i just turned on are these circles 541 00:19:25,350 --> 00:19:23,600 around our ground stations in hawaii 542 00:19:27,909 --> 00:19:25,360 chile and 543 00:19:29,190 --> 00:19:27,919 australia so when our orbit propagator 544 00:19:31,110 --> 00:19:29,200 predicts that these satellites are going 545 00:19:32,470 --> 00:19:31,120 to be moving over these ground contact 546 00:19:34,390 --> 00:19:32,480 zones that's where we're going to be 547 00:19:36,789 --> 00:19:34,400 able to downlink our data 548 00:19:38,710 --> 00:19:36,799 what i just turned on is one ground 549 00:19:40,150 --> 00:19:38,720 track for one satellite over about an 550 00:19:41,430 --> 00:19:40,160 orbit just to give you guys and again 551 00:19:43,350 --> 00:19:41,440 additional 552 00:19:44,870 --> 00:19:43,360 ideas of what the sampling properties of 553 00:19:46,470 --> 00:19:44,880 stigmas are going to be 554 00:19:48,470 --> 00:19:46,480 the next thing that we're going to ask 555 00:19:50,630 --> 00:19:48,480 of this tool to do is to tell us where 556 00:19:53,110 --> 00:19:50,640 our data are expected to be over this 557 00:19:55,270 --> 00:19:53,120 time period so i'm about to turn on 558 00:19:57,350 --> 00:19:55,280 the specular points for the same time 559 00:19:58,710 --> 00:19:57,360 period 560 00:19:59,909 --> 00:19:58,720 so each of these colored lines 561 00:20:02,230 --> 00:19:59,919 represents one of the different 562 00:20:04,070 --> 00:20:02,240 satellites 563 00:20:05,510 --> 00:20:04,080 and you can imagine that if we added 564 00:20:07,270 --> 00:20:05,520 time 565 00:20:09,350 --> 00:20:07,280 all these satellites in combination give 566 00:20:11,270 --> 00:20:09,360 us great coverage over the topics where 567 00:20:12,549 --> 00:20:11,280 we expect most of the tropical cyclones 568 00:20:14,470 --> 00:20:12,559 to be 569 00:20:16,149 --> 00:20:14,480 the next aspect of this tool is to 570 00:20:17,590 --> 00:20:16,159 determine when cygnus is going to 571 00:20:18,870 --> 00:20:17,600 intercept hurricane matthew so what i 572 00:20:20,950 --> 00:20:18,880 just turned on 573 00:20:21,830 --> 00:20:20,960 is this red bright circle and that's the 574 00:20:24,070 --> 00:20:21,840 current 575 00:20:25,350 --> 00:20:24,080 position and size of hurricane matthew 576 00:20:27,190 --> 00:20:25,360 according to the national hurricane 577 00:20:28,870 --> 00:20:27,200 center's forecast 578 00:20:30,710 --> 00:20:28,880 hurricane matthew for this time period 579 00:20:32,950 --> 00:20:30,720 is forecasted to move to the west and 580 00:20:35,590 --> 00:20:32,960 then eventually turn to the north the 581 00:20:37,830 --> 00:20:35,600 four the future locations are shown by 582 00:20:39,830 --> 00:20:37,840 the the lighter red colors 583 00:20:41,669 --> 00:20:39,840 so we're using this tool to propagate 584 00:20:44,070 --> 00:20:41,679 the orbit forward 585 00:20:45,750 --> 00:20:44,080 so that we can see where cygnus is going 586 00:20:46,549 --> 00:20:45,760 and where the hurricane is forecasted to 587 00:20:48,070 --> 00:20:46,559 go 588 00:20:49,830 --> 00:20:48,080 right now we're getting pretty close but 589 00:20:51,669 --> 00:20:49,840 hurricane matthew's running away from us 590 00:20:53,590 --> 00:20:51,679 a little bit here but we're starting to 591 00:20:54,390 --> 00:20:53,600 get close and we're going to zoom in 592 00:20:55,510 --> 00:20:54,400 really 593 00:20:58,310 --> 00:20:55,520 um 594 00:21:00,070 --> 00:20:58,320 get a zoomed in view pretty soon 595 00:21:02,390 --> 00:21:00,080 just to see what our data looks like 596 00:21:04,310 --> 00:21:02,400 here so i'm going to turn on all the 597 00:21:06,230 --> 00:21:04,320 specular points for a couple of hours 598 00:21:08,230 --> 00:21:06,240 around this time point now that we know 599 00:21:10,710 --> 00:21:08,240 the sort of general gist of the time 600 00:21:11,590 --> 00:21:10,720 period that we're looking at 601 00:21:13,990 --> 00:21:11,600 so 602 00:21:15,430 --> 00:21:14,000 all those lines are the data 603 00:21:17,190 --> 00:21:15,440 right now you're seeing the satellites 604 00:21:18,870 --> 00:21:17,200 propagate on the bottom right hand 605 00:21:20,710 --> 00:21:18,880 portion of the tool 606 00:21:22,070 --> 00:21:20,720 and right now we're getting 607 00:21:23,750 --> 00:21:22,080 crossovers through that bright red 608 00:21:26,710 --> 00:21:23,760 circle that's the current 609 00:21:28,070 --> 00:21:26,720 position and size of the storm 610 00:21:29,430 --> 00:21:28,080 all of that data in that bright red 611 00:21:31,430 --> 00:21:29,440 circle is stuff that can be used to 612 00:21:34,230 --> 00:21:31,440 answer questions like how intense is the 613 00:21:35,830 --> 00:21:34,240 storm how far out do strong winds extend 614 00:21:37,350 --> 00:21:35,840 what is the destructive potential of the 615 00:21:39,669 --> 00:21:37,360 storm at the time 616 00:21:41,510 --> 00:21:39,679 and that's really valuable data 617 00:21:42,630 --> 00:21:41,520 so let's zoom out and let's look at all 618 00:21:45,350 --> 00:21:42,640 the data 619 00:21:46,950 --> 00:21:45,360 collected over this same time period in 620 00:21:48,630 --> 00:21:46,960 addition to all of the hurricane matthew 621 00:21:50,470 --> 00:21:48,640 data that we're going to get 622 00:21:53,669 --> 00:21:50,480 we're getting data in the environment of 623 00:21:55,029 --> 00:21:53,679 hurricane matthew as well as global data 624 00:21:57,110 --> 00:21:55,039 the next thing that we want to ask of 625 00:21:58,470 --> 00:21:57,120 this tool is how soon after we get that 626 00:22:00,149 --> 00:21:58,480 really valuable data can we then 627 00:22:01,510 --> 00:22:00,159 download it to the ground as soon as 628 00:22:03,510 --> 00:22:01,520 possible 629 00:22:06,149 --> 00:22:03,520 so let's go back to our ground contact 630 00:22:09,029 --> 00:22:06,159 zone view and put the satellites back 631 00:22:10,710 --> 00:22:09,039 into motion and you're going to see that 632 00:22:13,510 --> 00:22:10,720 right after we go over hurricane 633 00:22:15,270 --> 00:22:13,520 matthew's area we go straight towards 634 00:22:17,029 --> 00:22:15,280 the australian ground station where we 635 00:22:18,789 --> 00:22:17,039 can get the data down to the ground 636 00:22:20,710 --> 00:22:18,799 within an hour and that's a really great 637 00:22:22,230 --> 00:22:20,720 data latency for all of our science 638 00:22:23,669 --> 00:22:22,240 applications 639 00:22:25,350 --> 00:22:23,679 so that's all i have today i just wanted 640 00:22:27,270 --> 00:22:25,360 to end by saying this is just one of the 641 00:22:28,789 --> 00:22:27,280 many amazing projects that i've been 642 00:22:30,789 --> 00:22:28,799 able to work on as a student on the 643 00:22:32,070 --> 00:22:30,799 sigfs team and i'm really excited to see 644 00:22:34,950 --> 00:22:32,080 what cygnus does in the future and i 645 00:22:36,549 --> 00:22:34,960 hope you guys all stay tuned thanks 646 00:22:38,230 --> 00:22:36,559 great thank you so much mary and as i 647 00:22:40,950 --> 00:22:38,240 mentioned at the beginning of today's 648 00:22:43,270 --> 00:22:40,960 briefing you are a phd candidate at the 649 00:22:44,789 --> 00:22:43,280 university of michigan working under dr 650 00:22:47,510 --> 00:22:44,799 ruffin as i understand it you're 651 00:22:49,510 --> 00:22:47,520 actually preparing to uh defend your 652 00:22:51,590 --> 00:22:49,520 doctoral dissertation later this month 653 00:22:53,830 --> 00:22:51,600 right december 20th is the date and 654 00:22:55,909 --> 00:22:53,840 you're actually using the cygnus 655 00:22:57,830 --> 00:22:55,919 project as the basis of your research 656 00:23:00,070 --> 00:22:57,840 correct yep great well good luck with 657 00:23:02,070 --> 00:23:00,080 that thanks all right so now we have 658 00:23:04,870 --> 00:23:02,080 some time to take some questions from 659 00:23:07,909 --> 00:23:04,880 folks both here in the audience as well 660 00:23:09,590 --> 00:23:07,919 as on the phone and via social media and 661 00:23:10,870 --> 00:23:09,600 we'll start with questions here in the 662 00:23:12,630 --> 00:23:10,880 audience and then if they're any on the 663 00:23:14,070 --> 00:23:12,640 phone and then social media and just a 664 00:23:16,149 --> 00:23:14,080 quick reminder for people who may be 665 00:23:18,390 --> 00:23:16,159 asking questions via social media that 666 00:23:20,549 --> 00:23:18,400 you can do so by using the hashtag 667 00:23:22,230 --> 00:23:20,559 asknasa but we'll start with some 668 00:23:25,029 --> 00:23:22,240 questions here in the room we'll start 669 00:23:26,789 --> 00:23:25,039 right here in the front row redshirt and 670 00:23:28,070 --> 00:23:26,799 if you could identify yourself uh and 671 00:23:30,870 --> 00:23:28,080 then ask the question thank you bill 672 00:23:32,470 --> 00:23:30,880 jelen with we report space so for mary 673 00:23:34,310 --> 00:23:32,480 when the first one goes over matthew and 674 00:23:36,070 --> 00:23:34,320 then we get the information hour later 675 00:23:39,110 --> 00:23:36,080 we're now waiting until the satellites 676 00:23:41,510 --> 00:23:39,120 come back over matthew so just what's 677 00:23:42,789 --> 00:23:41,520 the guess from one measurement until it 678 00:23:44,870 --> 00:23:42,799 comes back around and is able to 679 00:23:47,190 --> 00:23:44,880 intersect matthew again in your video 680 00:23:49,909 --> 00:23:47,200 how long is that is that so on average 681 00:23:51,510 --> 00:23:49,919 it's about seven hours but for the it 682 00:23:53,830 --> 00:23:51,520 depends on the case and how the 683 00:23:56,149 --> 00:23:53,840 hurricane is moving in addition to these 684 00:23:58,549 --> 00:23:56,159 satellites but in general i found that 685 00:24:00,310 --> 00:23:58,559 when we you know hit the hurricane when 686 00:24:02,070 --> 00:24:00,320 we intersected we hit it really well 687 00:24:05,669 --> 00:24:02,080 we're never just gonna like barely graze 688 00:24:08,149 --> 00:24:05,679 it or you know miss it you know by just 689 00:24:11,190 --> 00:24:08,159 a little bit so um i'm really excited 690 00:24:13,029 --> 00:24:11,200 about all the applications 691 00:24:16,870 --> 00:24:13,039 okay another question uh how about right 692 00:24:21,909 --> 00:24:19,350 rick glasby with wfit i guess i'm a 693 00:24:24,149 --> 00:24:21,919 little confused about the seven hours uh 694 00:24:26,950 --> 00:24:24,159 dr ruff does that mean if i'm standing 695 00:24:29,110 --> 00:24:26,960 in one spot a satellite would pass over 696 00:24:31,110 --> 00:24:29,120 me every seven hours 697 00:24:33,350 --> 00:24:31,120 that's exactly what it means uh so the 698 00:24:35,110 --> 00:24:33,360 sampling for this type of technique 699 00:24:38,310 --> 00:24:35,120 there's a fundamental difference between 700 00:24:41,110 --> 00:24:38,320 it and a typical imager a polar orbiting 701 00:24:43,110 --> 00:24:41,120 wide swath imager um that 702 00:24:44,870 --> 00:24:43,120 typically has an exact repeat orbit and 703 00:24:46,630 --> 00:24:44,880 there's an exact time that it comes back 704 00:24:48,630 --> 00:24:46,640 around any given spot that's the revisit 705 00:24:51,110 --> 00:24:48,640 time that's sort of the standard 706 00:24:53,909 --> 00:24:51,120 approach to temporal sampling with low 707 00:24:56,390 --> 00:24:53,919 earth orbiting satellites with cygnus 708 00:24:58,630 --> 00:24:56,400 our orbits and the orbits of the gps 709 00:25:00,549 --> 00:24:58,640 satellites are completely asynchronous 710 00:25:02,710 --> 00:25:00,559 so the location and the location of the 711 00:25:04,390 --> 00:25:02,720 sample and the time of the sample it's 712 00:25:05,590 --> 00:25:04,400 determined by the relative locations of 713 00:25:07,110 --> 00:25:05,600 those two satellites you know the 714 00:25:08,789 --> 00:25:07,120 specular point on the ground is formed 715 00:25:10,950 --> 00:25:08,799 by exactly where those two satellites 716 00:25:13,110 --> 00:25:10,960 are at any given time because the orbits 717 00:25:15,510 --> 00:25:13,120 are asynchronous the locations of the 718 00:25:17,590 --> 00:25:15,520 samples move around all over the place 719 00:25:19,750 --> 00:25:17,600 and they're not really deterministic 720 00:25:21,750 --> 00:25:19,760 the right way to analyze it is to treat 721 00:25:23,909 --> 00:25:21,760 the sampling properties as a as a 722 00:25:26,149 --> 00:25:23,919 statistical property a random process 723 00:25:28,230 --> 00:25:26,159 and then calculate probability 724 00:25:29,909 --> 00:25:28,240 distributions and statistics of samples 725 00:25:31,909 --> 00:25:29,919 that's that's that's a a clean 726 00:25:33,750 --> 00:25:31,919 mathematical way to handle the sampling 727 00:25:35,750 --> 00:25:33,760 properties so there's a statistical 728 00:25:37,830 --> 00:25:35,760 distribution of how often you'll come 729 00:25:39,990 --> 00:25:37,840 back to the same place and the average 730 00:25:42,710 --> 00:25:40,000 of that statistic is 731 00:25:43,909 --> 00:25:42,720 seven hours 732 00:25:47,990 --> 00:25:43,919 all right i think we had a question here 733 00:25:52,630 --> 00:25:50,230 uh jim siegel i'm with celebration news 734 00:25:54,310 --> 00:25:52,640 and space flight insider also i'm a 735 00:25:57,909 --> 00:25:54,320 graduate of the university of michigan 736 00:26:02,789 --> 00:26:00,950 i'm interested in how i can explain to 737 00:26:05,510 --> 00:26:02,799 my readers 738 00:26:08,630 --> 00:26:05,520 what the uh what the advantage or the 739 00:26:11,269 --> 00:26:08,640 outcome of having this in space is for 740 00:26:13,590 --> 00:26:11,279 them in non-technical terms say somebody 741 00:26:16,549 --> 00:26:13,600 from michigan state how would i describe 742 00:26:18,630 --> 00:26:16,559 that how would i describe 743 00:26:20,630 --> 00:26:18,640 what what um 744 00:26:22,390 --> 00:26:20,640 what what what does this do that that 745 00:26:25,990 --> 00:26:22,400 they're not going to get today from the 746 00:26:30,630 --> 00:26:27,909 do you i mean you're you're much better 747 00:26:32,950 --> 00:26:30,640 but i could try yeah uh so um if you 748 00:26:35,190 --> 00:26:32,960 look at the the the general 749 00:26:36,950 --> 00:26:35,200 characteristics of hurricane forecasts 750 00:26:39,510 --> 00:26:36,960 today and over the last you know a 751 00:26:41,430 --> 00:26:39,520 couple of decades hurricane forecasts of 752 00:26:43,510 --> 00:26:41,440 the location of the storm the storm 753 00:26:44,549 --> 00:26:43,520 track forecast have been steadily 754 00:26:46,230 --> 00:26:44,559 improving 755 00:26:48,710 --> 00:26:46,240 over the decades 756 00:26:51,510 --> 00:26:48,720 and the forecast of the intensity which 757 00:26:54,070 --> 00:26:51,520 is the maximum sustained wind have not 758 00:26:56,630 --> 00:26:54,080 improved anywhere near as much as the 759 00:26:57,990 --> 00:26:56,640 as the forecast of the location so being 760 00:26:59,750 --> 00:26:58,000 able to predict where a storm is going 761 00:27:01,669 --> 00:26:59,760 to make landfall has gotten steadily 762 00:27:02,870 --> 00:27:01,679 better and being able to predict how 763 00:27:04,710 --> 00:27:02,880 strong it's going to be when it does 764 00:27:06,950 --> 00:27:04,720 make landfall has not improved anywhere 765 00:27:09,190 --> 00:27:06,960 near as much and the general consensus 766 00:27:10,789 --> 00:27:09,200 on why that is which has been um you 767 00:27:12,310 --> 00:27:10,799 know backed up by a lot of simulation 768 00:27:13,830 --> 00:27:12,320 study computer simulation studies is 769 00:27:15,029 --> 00:27:13,840 because of our inability to measure 770 00:27:17,909 --> 00:27:15,039 what's going on in the middle of the 771 00:27:19,669 --> 00:27:17,919 storm and that's what the focus of the 772 00:27:21,669 --> 00:27:19,679 of the of the types of differences 773 00:27:23,269 --> 00:27:21,679 between cygnus and previous satellites 774 00:27:25,269 --> 00:27:23,279 that that was what we really focused on 775 00:27:26,950 --> 00:27:25,279 was trying to address that need so what 776 00:27:28,310 --> 00:27:26,960 we're hoping in the end will happen with 777 00:27:29,750 --> 00:27:28,320 this data and we've done a lot of 778 00:27:31,750 --> 00:27:29,760 simulations that tell us that this 779 00:27:33,590 --> 00:27:31,760 should happen is that our ability to 780 00:27:35,350 --> 00:27:33,600 forecast how strong the hurricane is 781 00:27:38,950 --> 00:27:35,360 going to be when it makes landfall will 782 00:27:43,110 --> 00:27:40,310 i think we had another question next to 783 00:27:46,470 --> 00:27:44,350 jason ryan also at 784 00:27:47,750 --> 00:27:46,480 spaceflightinsider.com uh i'm not sure 785 00:27:49,190 --> 00:27:47,760 who to fill this tube i hope you can 786 00:27:51,750 --> 00:27:49,200 help me out now you mentioned the lack 787 00:27:54,149 --> 00:27:51,760 of a thrusters uh or propulsion system 788 00:27:55,350 --> 00:27:54,159 on the uh spacecraft that help reduce 789 00:27:57,269 --> 00:27:55,360 cost can you give us a couple other 790 00:27:59,510 --> 00:27:57,279 examples of ways that costs were cut for 791 00:28:00,789 --> 00:27:59,520 this particular mission thank you 792 00:28:03,029 --> 00:28:00,799 hmm 793 00:28:05,190 --> 00:28:03,039 uh well 794 00:28:08,630 --> 00:28:05,200 the one of the things is uh the number 795 00:28:11,830 --> 00:28:08,640 of spacecraft so in theory we could have 796 00:28:14,310 --> 00:28:11,840 flown more spacecraft the pegasus rocket 797 00:28:17,110 --> 00:28:14,320 would have allowed us to fly maybe one 798 00:28:19,909 --> 00:28:17,120 or two more spacecraft 799 00:28:22,789 --> 00:28:19,919 but as you have more mass you come 800 00:28:24,950 --> 00:28:22,799 closer and closer to the limits of the 801 00:28:27,350 --> 00:28:24,960 of the rocket you also come closer and 802 00:28:29,990 --> 00:28:27,360 closer to the limits of your budget and 803 00:28:31,990 --> 00:28:30,000 so we made some hard decisions when we 804 00:28:34,470 --> 00:28:32,000 were doing the mission planning to 805 00:28:36,070 --> 00:28:34,480 figure out exactly how many spacecraft 806 00:28:39,830 --> 00:28:36,080 would be the optimal number of 807 00:28:42,070 --> 00:28:39,840 spacecraft for the cost for the mass and 808 00:28:44,389 --> 00:28:42,080 for the science return you would you 809 00:28:46,389 --> 00:28:44,399 would like to have as many satellites as 810 00:28:49,269 --> 00:28:46,399 physically possible up there but you 811 00:28:51,110 --> 00:28:49,279 have to live within the realism of the 812 00:28:53,990 --> 00:28:51,120 mass constraints and the dollar 813 00:28:55,669 --> 00:28:54,000 constraints and so that was a big 814 00:28:57,110 --> 00:28:55,679 trade-off that we made 815 00:28:58,470 --> 00:28:57,120 i can give you one other example of a 816 00:29:01,510 --> 00:28:58,480 trade-off 817 00:29:03,110 --> 00:29:01,520 when you design satellite architectures 818 00:29:05,750 --> 00:29:03,120 there's 819 00:29:07,909 --> 00:29:05,760 often a desire to make them as reliable 820 00:29:09,909 --> 00:29:07,919 as possible and the way you do that is 821 00:29:11,590 --> 00:29:09,919 by having redundant systems you have the 822 00:29:12,950 --> 00:29:11,600 same thing in the satellite more than 823 00:29:14,470 --> 00:29:12,960 once so that if one of them breaks you 824 00:29:16,389 --> 00:29:14,480 can switch to the other one and if you 825 00:29:17,909 --> 00:29:16,399 don't do that then you have things 826 00:29:20,549 --> 00:29:17,919 called single string failures where if 827 00:29:21,590 --> 00:29:20,559 that fails you're dead okay and 828 00:29:24,470 --> 00:29:21,600 with the 829 00:29:27,110 --> 00:29:24,480 cygnus satellite there's very very few 830 00:29:27,990 --> 00:29:27,120 parts that are redundant just a couple 831 00:29:31,269 --> 00:29:28,000 and 832 00:29:32,710 --> 00:29:31,279 reason for that is we have eight 833 00:29:34,870 --> 00:29:32,720 satellites we need six to meet our 834 00:29:36,630 --> 00:29:34,880 science requirements and so we have 835 00:29:38,630 --> 00:29:36,640 redundancy at the constellation level 836 00:29:40,789 --> 00:29:38,640 but the individual satellites are not 837 00:29:42,950 --> 00:29:40,799 redundant hardly at all and it made them 838 00:29:44,310 --> 00:29:42,960 much easier to make to to build and 839 00:29:46,470 --> 00:29:44,320 because of that we could afford more of 840 00:29:48,149 --> 00:29:46,480 them so we've moved the redundancy to 841 00:29:50,630 --> 00:29:48,159 the constellation and that had a big 842 00:29:53,669 --> 00:29:52,230 okay i think we've got one more on this 843 00:29:57,269 --> 00:29:53,679 side and then we'll see we've got some 844 00:30:01,990 --> 00:29:59,750 hi ken kramer universe today northeast 845 00:30:03,990 --> 00:30:02,000 astronomy forum kind of to follow up on 846 00:30:05,590 --> 00:30:04,000 this if you had the budget 847 00:30:07,110 --> 00:30:05,600 and you could launch let's say a second 848 00:30:09,430 --> 00:30:07,120 series of eight satellites could you 849 00:30:11,510 --> 00:30:09,440 maneuver them to get the data back like 850 00:30:14,870 --> 00:30:11,520 every three hours or so and would that 851 00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:17,510 go ahead 852 00:30:21,590 --> 00:30:20,070 so with um with the orbit plane that we 853 00:30:25,110 --> 00:30:21,600 have right now 854 00:30:27,510 --> 00:30:25,120 you have just one orbit around the earth 855 00:30:29,510 --> 00:30:27,520 if you actually had two satellites or 856 00:30:31,830 --> 00:30:29,520 two planes then you could have an orbit 857 00:30:35,110 --> 00:30:31,840 plane here and an orbit plane there and 858 00:30:36,389 --> 00:30:35,120 so it would cut our revisit time like 859 00:30:39,029 --> 00:30:36,399 chris was saying 860 00:30:41,269 --> 00:30:39,039 from seven hours down to say three hours 861 00:30:44,070 --> 00:30:41,279 and so you could basically have data 862 00:30:45,909 --> 00:30:44,080 every three hours of the hurricane and 863 00:30:49,590 --> 00:30:45,919 so it would give you 864 00:30:52,710 --> 00:30:50,870 all right how about over on this side of 865 00:30:54,950 --> 00:30:52,720 the room we have any questions one right 866 00:30:56,789 --> 00:30:54,960 there in the second row 867 00:30:59,190 --> 00:30:56,799 i want to visualize i know it's they're 868 00:31:00,870 --> 00:30:59,200 all in the same plane but how how spread 869 00:31:02,070 --> 00:31:00,880 out is it when everything's all lined up 870 00:31:04,389 --> 00:31:02,080 where you want it when you're 871 00:31:06,789 --> 00:31:04,399 controlling altitude right with drag but 872 00:31:09,029 --> 00:31:06,799 how far apart are they crossways or 873 00:31:10,549 --> 00:31:09,039 normal to the orbit plane if you will 874 00:31:12,549 --> 00:31:10,559 that's a good question so they're 875 00:31:14,230 --> 00:31:12,559 basically in exactly the same orbit 876 00:31:16,310 --> 00:31:14,240 plane 877 00:31:18,950 --> 00:31:16,320 so when when the 878 00:31:20,789 --> 00:31:18,960 rocket kicks them off two will be kicked 879 00:31:22,230 --> 00:31:20,799 off one will be kicked off forward and 880 00:31:24,389 --> 00:31:22,240 one will be kicked off backwards and 881 00:31:26,950 --> 00:31:24,399 they're in the same orbit plane as the 882 00:31:29,909 --> 00:31:26,960 rocket and then two will be kicked off 883 00:31:33,110 --> 00:31:29,919 almost perpendicular to the uh to the 884 00:31:36,549 --> 00:31:33,120 orbit plane but the the velocity along 885 00:31:39,190 --> 00:31:36,559 the orbit plane is 17 000 miles an hour 886 00:31:42,630 --> 00:31:39,200 and the velocity perpendicular is two 887 00:31:45,110 --> 00:31:42,640 miles an hour and so it it makes a very 888 00:31:46,549 --> 00:31:45,120 small change in the inclination not 889 00:31:50,310 --> 00:31:46,559 enough that you'll 890 00:31:51,909 --> 00:31:50,320 ever notice it really at all 891 00:31:55,029 --> 00:31:51,919 okay other questions here in the room 892 00:31:57,029 --> 00:31:55,039 we've got some more on this side 893 00:31:58,630 --> 00:31:57,039 thank you james dean florida dr ruff you 894 00:31:59,990 --> 00:31:58,640 just you know been discussing the 895 00:32:02,070 --> 00:32:00,000 affordability of these satellites i just 896 00:32:04,710 --> 00:32:02,080 want to ask you know what is the uh the 897 00:32:06,630 --> 00:32:04,720 value of each spacecraft and 898 00:32:08,630 --> 00:32:06,640 does that i mean i see what the what's 899 00:32:10,310 --> 00:32:08,640 listed as nasa's investment in this 900 00:32:12,230 --> 00:32:10,320 mission is it 901 00:32:14,149 --> 00:32:12,240 that divided by eight uh what other 902 00:32:15,990 --> 00:32:14,159 investment also is there in the mission 903 00:32:18,230 --> 00:32:16,000 yeah yeah how much they cost loss of 904 00:32:19,269 --> 00:32:18,240 life or something uh yeah the dollar 905 00:32:21,110 --> 00:32:19,279 value 906 00:32:22,710 --> 00:32:21,120 i don't know exactly what the recurring 907 00:32:25,669 --> 00:32:22,720 cost is i mean you know just in general 908 00:32:27,509 --> 00:32:25,679 it costs 10 or more times more to build 909 00:32:28,950 --> 00:32:27,519 the first one than the next seven 910 00:32:31,509 --> 00:32:28,960 because of all the design work if you 911 00:32:33,669 --> 00:32:31,519 really break it up that way and uh i 912 00:32:35,269 --> 00:32:33,679 don't know what the recurring cost is i 913 00:32:37,029 --> 00:32:35,279 should find out in case nasa wants me to 914 00:32:38,870 --> 00:32:37,039 build a bunch more of them i guess it's 915 00:32:40,310 --> 00:32:38,880 certainly it's certainly much it's 916 00:32:41,669 --> 00:32:40,320 certainly much less than an eighth of 917 00:32:43,430 --> 00:32:41,679 the total mission cost because the 918 00:32:45,350 --> 00:32:43,440 recurring cost happens just one or the 919 00:32:49,110 --> 00:32:45,360 non-recurring engineering work happens 920 00:32:51,909 --> 00:32:50,870 okay let's go to one right behind him 921 00:32:54,070 --> 00:32:51,919 and then i think we have one on the 922 00:32:55,990 --> 00:32:54,080 phone 923 00:32:56,870 --> 00:32:56,000 hi stephen clark from space flight now 924 00:32:58,549 --> 00:32:56,880 um 925 00:33:00,789 --> 00:32:58,559 a couple of questions one just to 926 00:33:02,789 --> 00:33:00,799 clarify the three ground stations that 927 00:33:04,549 --> 00:33:02,799 were mentioned in the animation are 928 00:33:07,350 --> 00:33:04,559 those the only three that are being used 929 00:33:09,350 --> 00:33:07,360 in the mission and also um what are the 930 00:33:11,350 --> 00:33:09,360 plans or are there any plans to 931 00:33:13,909 --> 00:33:11,360 operationalize this data if the 932 00:33:15,430 --> 00:33:13,919 demonstration works as you expect 933 00:33:17,750 --> 00:33:15,440 are you in contact with anyone from the 934 00:33:19,110 --> 00:33:17,760 hurricane center or the 935 00:33:21,190 --> 00:33:19,120 national weather service or is that 936 00:33:23,669 --> 00:33:21,200 something that would need a follow-on 937 00:33:26,710 --> 00:33:23,679 mission to operationalize thanks 938 00:33:28,310 --> 00:33:26,720 uh yeah okay i'll take that one so um uh 939 00:33:29,669 --> 00:33:28,320 the first question was how many yeah 940 00:33:31,350 --> 00:33:29,679 those are the only three ground stations 941 00:33:33,750 --> 00:33:31,360 we have that we've contracted with a 942 00:33:35,110 --> 00:33:33,760 private ground station vendor usn and 943 00:33:37,669 --> 00:33:35,120 those are the three stations that we've 944 00:33:40,870 --> 00:33:37,679 contracted to use um so those are sort 945 00:33:42,789 --> 00:33:40,880 of fixed um and then uh the the you know 946 00:33:44,310 --> 00:33:42,799 the cygnus mission it's a kind of 947 00:33:46,230 --> 00:33:44,320 research and discovery mission not an 948 00:33:47,990 --> 00:33:46,240 operational mission and it's a nasa 949 00:33:49,509 --> 00:33:48,000 mission not a no emission that being 950 00:33:51,750 --> 00:33:49,519 said there's a number of noaa 951 00:33:53,669 --> 00:33:51,760 investigators on the cygnus science team 952 00:33:55,110 --> 00:33:53,679 and there are a number of people at the 953 00:33:56,310 --> 00:33:55,120 national hurricane center that are 954 00:33:57,990 --> 00:33:56,320 involved in seconds they know all about 955 00:33:59,269 --> 00:33:58,000 what we're doing what we're doing i've 956 00:34:00,630 --> 00:33:59,279 gone down there a number of times and 957 00:34:01,990 --> 00:34:00,640 briefed them and they're you know very 958 00:34:03,350 --> 00:34:02,000 excited at looking at the data they're 959 00:34:04,710 --> 00:34:03,360 very you know they're careful and 960 00:34:07,350 --> 00:34:04,720 cautious about 961 00:34:09,030 --> 00:34:07,360 using new data types and there's a 962 00:34:10,710 --> 00:34:09,040 careful vetting process that they go 963 00:34:13,190 --> 00:34:10,720 through over a period of years when they 964 00:34:15,829 --> 00:34:13,200 look at the the quality or potential 965 00:34:18,710 --> 00:34:15,839 impact of the uh of the new data sets on 966 00:34:21,030 --> 00:34:18,720 their uh their forecast skill and the 967 00:34:21,990 --> 00:34:21,040 intent is to do that um over the first 968 00:34:24,230 --> 00:34:22,000 you know a couple of years of the 969 00:34:26,470 --> 00:34:24,240 mission and then they're going to decide 970 00:34:28,869 --> 00:34:26,480 what to do next but they you know they 971 00:34:30,629 --> 00:34:28,879 very carefully test out the impact of 972 00:34:33,750 --> 00:34:30,639 new data sets on their on their forecast 973 00:34:35,589 --> 00:34:33,760 skill before they start to use them 974 00:34:36,950 --> 00:34:35,599 we'll go to a question on the phone and 975 00:34:43,669 --> 00:34:36,960 just reminder to please identify 976 00:34:47,109 --> 00:34:45,349 hi this is michael phillips with 977 00:34:49,270 --> 00:34:47,119 weatherboy.com 978 00:34:51,270 --> 00:34:49,280 um with the data that you're collecting 979 00:34:53,669 --> 00:34:51,280 can you talk about how that data will 980 00:34:54,470 --> 00:34:53,679 actually be validated and verified are 981 00:34:56,869 --> 00:34:54,480 you 982 00:34:59,349 --> 00:34:56,879 looking at data from uh sources like the 983 00:35:01,109 --> 00:34:59,359 national hurricane center to verify 984 00:35:02,390 --> 00:35:01,119 um the information you're collecting is 985 00:35:05,349 --> 00:35:02,400 accurate 986 00:35:06,630 --> 00:35:05,359 um yeah so uh we yes we're working with 987 00:35:08,630 --> 00:35:06,640 the um 988 00:35:10,870 --> 00:35:08,640 what are they called aoc the the part of 989 00:35:12,230 --> 00:35:10,880 uh noaa in miami that that flies those 990 00:35:14,470 --> 00:35:12,240 hurricane hunter airplanes they know 991 00:35:17,190 --> 00:35:14,480 what we're doing and we actually went 992 00:35:19,109 --> 00:35:17,200 through a whole training 993 00:35:21,510 --> 00:35:19,119 process this hurt this past hurricane 994 00:35:23,910 --> 00:35:21,520 season using that that tool that um that 995 00:35:26,390 --> 00:35:23,920 mary showed you the sift tool where we 996 00:35:28,550 --> 00:35:26,400 would forecast where we would have made 997 00:35:30,310 --> 00:35:28,560 overpasses of hurricanes like matthew 998 00:35:31,990 --> 00:35:30,320 and a couple of the others this year 999 00:35:33,750 --> 00:35:32,000 where we would have made overpasses and 1000 00:35:35,910 --> 00:35:33,760 when um two or three days in the future 1001 00:35:37,829 --> 00:35:35,920 and also what our heading would be and 1002 00:35:40,230 --> 00:35:37,839 we talked to the uh the people there 1003 00:35:42,230 --> 00:35:40,240 that were flying the p3s the uh the you 1004 00:35:43,589 --> 00:35:42,240 know the navigators on board about what 1005 00:35:45,910 --> 00:35:43,599 we were doing and we worked out a 1006 00:35:47,670 --> 00:35:45,920 procedure to tell them what we would 1007 00:35:48,790 --> 00:35:47,680 like and they're they're very interested 1008 00:35:50,710 --> 00:35:48,800 in this and they want to help and 1009 00:35:52,950 --> 00:35:50,720 they're willing to try as much as 1010 00:35:55,510 --> 00:35:52,960 possible within the constraints of their 1011 00:35:57,510 --> 00:35:55,520 charter to underfly us when we go over 1012 00:36:00,150 --> 00:35:57,520 hurricanes and to fly the the flight 1013 00:36:01,750 --> 00:36:00,160 line of the airplane parallel to our um 1014 00:36:03,910 --> 00:36:01,760 ground track our specular point 1015 00:36:05,589 --> 00:36:03,920 transects so that we have as much uh 1016 00:36:07,109 --> 00:36:05,599 match up as or you know coincident match 1017 00:36:08,710 --> 00:36:07,119 up as possible between the uh the 1018 00:36:10,069 --> 00:36:08,720 airborne measurements of the you know 1019 00:36:11,750 --> 00:36:10,079 traditional way of measuring the winds 1020 00:36:13,990 --> 00:36:11,760 and the cygnus measurements so that's 1021 00:36:16,310 --> 00:36:14,000 going to be our primary validation tool 1022 00:36:17,589 --> 00:36:16,320 um in the in the hurricanes themselves 1023 00:36:18,950 --> 00:36:17,599 and then away from the hurricanes 1024 00:36:20,790 --> 00:36:18,960 there's a lot of standard ways to 1025 00:36:23,270 --> 00:36:20,800 validate the quality of wind retrievals 1026 00:36:25,109 --> 00:36:23,280 and we'll be using those as well 1027 00:36:26,790 --> 00:36:25,119 thank you i've got another question from 1028 00:36:29,510 --> 00:36:26,800 a caller on the phone this one from 1029 00:36:33,030 --> 00:36:29,520 jesse at space.com 1030 00:36:34,470 --> 00:36:33,040 i can you guys can hear this yeah good 1031 00:36:36,630 --> 00:36:34,480 all right um you know i was just 1032 00:36:38,310 --> 00:36:36,640 wondering the mission time the total 1033 00:36:40,230 --> 00:36:38,320 it's going to be right a two-year 1034 00:36:42,069 --> 00:36:40,240 mission and then maybe an extend one 1035 00:36:43,030 --> 00:36:42,079 after that and i was just curious if you 1036 00:36:47,670 --> 00:36:43,040 were 1037 00:36:52,870 --> 00:36:49,990 uh yeah we're gonna we're gonna turn on 1038 00:36:55,670 --> 00:36:52,880 um the science mode about uh sometime 1039 00:36:58,390 --> 00:36:55,680 during the second month after launch and 1040 00:37:01,349 --> 00:36:58,400 the intent is to stay on in science mode 1041 00:37:02,950 --> 00:37:01,359 24 7 100 of the time 100 duty cycle for 1042 00:37:04,630 --> 00:37:02,960 the rest of the mission so we'll be 1043 00:37:06,390 --> 00:37:04,640 making measurements over you know 1044 00:37:08,470 --> 00:37:06,400 hurricanes but they don't happen that 1045 00:37:09,750 --> 00:37:08,480 much you know statistically the other 99 1046 00:37:11,430 --> 00:37:09,760 of the time we'll be making measurements 1047 00:37:12,950 --> 00:37:11,440 over the ocean we also make measurements 1048 00:37:14,470 --> 00:37:12,960 over land for that matter which has 1049 00:37:15,910 --> 00:37:14,480 other science applications but yeah 1050 00:37:18,310 --> 00:37:15,920 we'll be running all the time over those 1051 00:37:19,670 --> 00:37:18,320 two years 1052 00:37:22,390 --> 00:37:19,680 okay great do we have any other 1053 00:37:24,310 --> 00:37:22,400 questions here in the room audience if 1054 00:37:27,990 --> 00:37:24,320 not uh we have any on social media i 1055 00:37:31,589 --> 00:37:29,270 all right so got two questions from 1056 00:37:33,750 --> 00:37:31,599 social media here for you uh the first 1057 00:37:37,670 --> 00:37:33,760 is when do you expect the data to start 1058 00:37:38,550 --> 00:37:37,680 being sent back to earth 1059 00:37:40,790 --> 00:37:38,560 um 1060 00:37:42,150 --> 00:37:40,800 well if by data you mean the engineering 1061 00:37:43,510 --> 00:37:42,160 communication with the satellites to 1062 00:37:45,829 --> 00:37:43,520 make sure they're healthy that happens 1063 00:37:47,910 --> 00:37:45,839 the first day within about two hours and 1064 00:37:49,109 --> 00:37:47,920 45 minutes is when we're we are hoping 1065 00:37:50,870 --> 00:37:49,119 or expecting to start getting 1066 00:37:52,630 --> 00:37:50,880 communications 1067 00:37:54,310 --> 00:37:52,640 i think our first light science data is 1068 00:37:55,829 --> 00:37:54,320 going to happen the second week just to 1069 00:37:57,030 --> 00:37:55,839 make sure that it works from an 1070 00:37:59,270 --> 00:37:57,040 engineering kind of functional 1071 00:38:00,630 --> 00:37:59,280 performance perspective and then 1072 00:38:02,390 --> 00:38:00,640 sometime during the second month we'll 1073 00:38:03,030 --> 00:38:02,400 be switching into regular science mode 1074 00:38:06,150 --> 00:38:03,040 and 1075 00:38:07,750 --> 00:38:06,160 just running running in science mode 1076 00:38:09,670 --> 00:38:07,760 okay and our next question and final 1077 00:38:11,829 --> 00:38:09,680 question from social media is 1078 00:38:13,910 --> 00:38:11,839 will cygnus help inform us about weather 1079 00:38:16,710 --> 00:38:13,920 and or climate outside of hurricane 1080 00:38:21,109 --> 00:38:19,190 i'm going gonna let mary answer because 1081 00:38:22,470 --> 00:38:21,119 well she's got her dissertation defense 1082 00:38:23,990 --> 00:38:22,480 in a couple of weeks and i figured this 1083 00:38:25,510 --> 00:38:24,000 is a good chance for me to like throw a 1084 00:38:28,470 --> 00:38:25,520 bunch of science questions at her to get 1085 00:38:29,349 --> 00:38:28,480 her warmed up for it 1086 00:38:31,190 --> 00:38:29,359 um 1087 00:38:32,630 --> 00:38:31,200 so the answer is yes 1088 00:38:34,069 --> 00:38:32,640 there's a lot of different science 1089 00:38:35,349 --> 00:38:34,079 applications that were a lot of the 1090 00:38:36,710 --> 00:38:35,359 members of the science team are actually 1091 00:38:38,550 --> 00:38:36,720 already working on 1092 00:38:40,870 --> 00:38:38,560 so we have an entire section of our 1093 00:38:42,390 --> 00:38:40,880 science team that's working on 1094 00:38:46,470 --> 00:38:42,400 increasing our understanding of tropical 1095 00:38:47,510 --> 00:38:46,480 convection uh the mjo in particular and 1096 00:38:49,910 --> 00:38:47,520 um 1097 00:38:52,550 --> 00:38:49,920 even stuff over land like soil moisture 1098 00:38:54,710 --> 00:38:52,560 and other you know other processes that 1099 00:38:57,190 --> 00:38:54,720 we're interested in looking into seeing 1100 00:38:58,950 --> 00:38:57,200 what the data tell us 1101 00:39:00,790 --> 00:38:58,960 wonderful we have any other follow-up 1102 00:39:07,349 --> 00:39:00,800 questions here in the room 1103 00:39:11,670 --> 00:39:09,190 jim siegel from space flight insider 1104 00:39:13,670 --> 00:39:11,680 again just to follow up from my question 1105 00:39:16,390 --> 00:39:13,680 earlier 1106 00:39:19,190 --> 00:39:16,400 having this cygnus system into the in 1107 00:39:21,670 --> 00:39:19,200 into the um in space is this going to 1108 00:39:23,109 --> 00:39:21,680 either replace some of the hurricane 1109 00:39:25,510 --> 00:39:23,119 hunter 1110 00:39:27,589 --> 00:39:25,520 airplanes that are out there now or is 1111 00:39:29,910 --> 00:39:27,599 it better than what they collect now can 1112 00:39:32,069 --> 00:39:29,920 you give us a a sense of 1113 00:39:34,390 --> 00:39:32,079 how this compares 1114 00:39:36,550 --> 00:39:34,400 in terms of the value of this 1115 00:39:38,630 --> 00:39:36,560 information and the accuracy 1116 00:39:40,310 --> 00:39:38,640 versus what we have today from whatever 1117 00:39:41,430 --> 00:39:40,320 source 1118 00:39:43,190 --> 00:39:41,440 right so i think they're very 1119 00:39:44,630 --> 00:39:43,200 complimentary they're not it's it's not 1120 00:39:46,310 --> 00:39:44,640 going to ever replace those hurricane 1121 00:39:48,870 --> 00:39:46,320 hunter planes for several reasons one is 1122 00:39:50,310 --> 00:39:48,880 the uh the spatial resolution of the 1123 00:39:52,230 --> 00:39:50,320 hurricane hunter measurements is much 1124 00:39:54,870 --> 00:39:52,240 better about five kilometers more about 1125 00:39:57,109 --> 00:39:54,880 20 kilometers um so you get a finer 1126 00:39:58,390 --> 00:39:57,119 finer resolved variation in the wind 1127 00:39:59,190 --> 00:39:58,400 gradients as you pass through the eye 1128 00:40:00,470 --> 00:39:59,200 wall 1129 00:40:01,670 --> 00:40:00,480 but the temporal sampling 1130 00:40:03,030 --> 00:40:01,680 characteristics for signals are much 1131 00:40:05,109 --> 00:40:03,040 better because we have global coverage 1132 00:40:06,309 --> 00:40:05,119 with lots of of uh 1133 00:40:08,150 --> 00:40:06,319 satellites 1134 00:40:09,990 --> 00:40:08,160 another important difference is that you 1135 00:40:12,069 --> 00:40:10,000 know the hurricane hunters have these uh 1136 00:40:13,270 --> 00:40:12,079 that sfmr sensor measuring the wind at 1137 00:40:15,349 --> 00:40:13,280 the surface but they have a lot of other 1138 00:40:16,870 --> 00:40:15,359 sensors as well and in particular 1139 00:40:19,750 --> 00:40:16,880 they're able to measure the vertical 1140 00:40:22,309 --> 00:40:19,760 profiles of the temperature and the uh 1141 00:40:26,630 --> 00:40:22,319 wind and uh the air pressure with drop 1142 00:40:28,390 --> 00:40:26,640 suns and the vertical structure is uh a 1143 00:40:30,309 --> 00:40:28,400 fundamental importance for understanding 1144 00:40:33,349 --> 00:40:30,319 the physical processes in a hurricane 1145 00:40:34,950 --> 00:40:33,359 and also for um for understanding uh 1146 00:40:36,710 --> 00:40:34,960 the or for 1147 00:40:39,589 --> 00:40:36,720 aiding in the prediction software the 1148 00:40:42,230 --> 00:40:39,599 forecasting software so uh 1149 00:40:44,710 --> 00:40:42,240 measuring vertical profiles is hard in 1150 00:40:46,550 --> 00:40:44,720 general from satellites and in heavy 1151 00:40:47,990 --> 00:40:46,560 precip there's really no good way to do 1152 00:40:50,150 --> 00:40:48,000 it now so we we don't know how to 1153 00:40:51,510 --> 00:40:50,160 replace those airplanes now given the 1154 00:40:55,109 --> 00:40:51,520 sort of state of the art of remote 1155 00:40:59,190 --> 00:40:56,390 all right i think that's all the time we 1156 00:41:01,349 --> 00:40:59,200 have for today and just as a reminder 1157 00:41:03,430 --> 00:41:01,359 this mission is scheduled to launch 1158 00:41:04,950 --> 00:41:03,440 monday morning you can watch it live on 1159 00:41:06,230 --> 00:41:04,960 nasa.gov 1160 00:41:08,550 --> 00:41:06,240 and you can find out much more about 1161 00:41:11,190 --> 00:41:08,560 this mission by going to the special 1162 00:41:12,870 --> 00:41:11,200 mission website at nasa.gov